Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.656294 1.743085 1.832794 1.932631 2.040850 2.154854 2.284343
2026-02-01 1.475852 1.596907 1.727412 1.879289 2.052108 2.243748 2.473883
2026-02-08 1.332555 1.470998 1.624904 1.810115 2.028885 2.281548 2.599127
2026-02-15 1.240547 1.391766 1.564144 1.777451 2.037549 2.348786 2.756320
2026-02-22 1.178279 1.340361 1.529171 1.768610 2.069007 2.440315 2.945532
2026-03-01 1.117810 1.286019 1.485480 1.743640 2.075425 2.497162 3.090755
2026-03-08 1.044945 1.212116 1.412945 1.676832 2.022165 2.470574 3.118522
2026-03-15 1.008231 1.180261 1.389951 1.670217 2.044629 2.542937 3.285644
2026-03-22 0.999649 1.182417 1.408923 1.717688 2.140262 2.719435 3.615840
2026-03-29 0.972480 1.159427 1.394080 1.718878 2.171924 2.807611 3.822244
2026-04-05 0.951529 1.143226 1.386857 1.729209 2.215893 2.915217 4.067492
2026-04-12 0.928417 1.123072 1.373208 1.729478 2.244718 3.001402 4.285799
2026-04-19 0.895680 1.090992 1.344819 1.711406 2.251128 3.062219 4.483686
2026-04-26 0.859002 1.052627 1.306750 1.678281 2.234041 3.086730 4.625590
2026-05-03 0.817213 1.005956 1.255516 1.623782 2.181400 3.050785 4.656415
2026-05-10 0.788003 0.975189 1.224875 1.597426 2.169838 3.079854 4.809055
2026-05-17 0.767304 0.955165 1.208193 1.590407 2.187380 3.157701 5.063306
2026-05-24 0.743429 0.929883 1.183017 1.569287 2.180875 3.193652 5.239641
2026-05-31 0.709562 0.889746 1.135383 1.512222 2.113200 3.118366 5.180281
2026-06-07 0.693635 0.874067 1.122068 1.506579 2.128695 3.190289 5.437065
2026-06-14 0.692603 0.879101 1.138559 1.547214 2.222871 3.411648 6.053525
2026-06-21 0.680016 0.867319 1.130025 1.548234 2.250038 3.511409 6.414133
2026-06-28 0.670312 0.859297 1.126639 1.557065 2.290926 3.640696 6.869129